Bristol Bay Borough saw 6.1% increase in transfer dependency percentage since 1970 as of 2022

John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group
John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group - Official Website
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In 2022, government transfers made up 9.6% of total income in Bristol Bay Borough, Alaska—a 6.1% surge from 3.5% in 1970 and a 1.2% increase from 2012’s 8.4%. This marks the second smallest increase among all Alaska counties over the past decade, according to information from the Economic Innovation Group.

On a per capita basis, this translates to $15,041 per resident in 2022, up from $9,351 in 2012 and $1,940 in 1970, ranking Bristol Bay Borough as the 15th fastest-growing in per capita government transfers among Alaska counties over the past 10 years.

Meanwhile, Bristol Bay Borough had the third smallest share of income derived from government transfers, making it one of the smallest dependent counties in the state.

Among Alaska’s counties, Yukon-Koyukuk Census Area saw the largest increase in transfer dependency over the past 10 years, surging 8.8% from 33% in 2012. In dollar terms, government transfers per capita in Yukon-Koyukuk Census Area jumped from $19,217 in 2012 to $27,183 in 2022.

For comparison, the statewide average was 20.4% in 2022, showing a higher dependency than the national average of 17.6%. On a per capita level, this translates to $14,091 per resident, compared to $11,542 nationwide.

Government transfer payments are non-repayable funds provided by federal, state, or local governments to support individuals in need. These payments aim to stabilize economic conditions and provide financial support during hardships. Key programs include Social Security transfers (retirement benefits), Medicare transfers (healthcare for seniors), Medicaid transfers (healthcare for low-income individuals), and income maintenance transfers (financial assistance for basic needs).

In Bristol Bay Borough, reliance on government transfers was just 3.5% (or $1,940 per capita in inflation-adjusted 2022 dollars) in 1970. This has since increased to a total of 6.1% since 1970. This shift is largely influenced by increased healthcare costs, and economic transformations that have reshaped income sources across the U.S.

In 2022, the primary government transfer programs in Bristol Bay Borough included:

  • Social Security: $3,090 per capita (20.5% of total transfers)
  • Medicare: $1,882 per capita (12.5% of total transfers)
  • Medicaid: $4,363 per capita (29% of total transfers)
  • Income Maintenance Programs: $1,689 per capita (11.2% of total transfers)

With 18.2% of the population aged 65 and older, Bristol Bay Borough has a significant demand for Social Security and Medicare. However, counties with higher poverty rates also show elevated Medicaid and income maintenance participation.

Government transfers have long been a modest financial safety net, historically comprising only a small fraction of Americans’ income. However, since the 1970s—sometimes dubbed the “Great Transfer-mation”—dependency has surged from 8.2% (or $2,022 per capita in inflation-adjusted 2022 dollars) in 1970 to 17.6% (or $11,542 per capita) in 2022 nationwide.

According to the Economic Innovation Group’s analysis, these trends are not merely short-term responses to economic pressures but rather reflect a profound, long-term transformation in how government support is integrated into American life. The study illustrates that structural shifts—from rising healthcare expenses and demographic changes to stagnant wages—have significantly increased dependency on government transfers.

Government Transfer Trends by County in Alaska, 2022
County Dependency on Transfers (%) Change Since 2012 Change Since 1970 Per Capita Amount (2022) Per Capita Since 2012 Per Capita Since 1970
Yukon-Koyukuk Census Area 41.8% +8.8% $27,183 $7,966
Northwest Arctic Borough 39.7% +8.1% +25.3% $21,940 $6,770 $19,578
Bethel Census Area 37.9% +9.9% $18,453 $5,572
Wrangell City and Borough 35.3% +12.9% $21,540 $9,525
Nome Census Area 33.1% +6.1% +19.5% $20,529 $6,406 $18,176
Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area 30.5% +8.6% $16,210 $6,490
Hoonah-Angoon Census Area 28.9% +7% $19,323 $6,809
Lake and Peninsula Borough 27.3% +8.9% $18,355 $6,956
Denali Borough 27.2% +5.3% $32,870 $12,555
Southeast Fairbanks Census Area 26.7% +6.7% $16,143 $5,810
Dillingham Census Area 26.5% +8.8% $16,165 $5,766
Kenai Peninsula Borough 25.4% +8.8% $15,546 $5,868
Haines Borough 25.3% +5.7% $21,659 $10,174
Yakutat City and Borough 22.9% +7.5% $14,644 $4,273
Ketchikan Gateway Borough 22.3% +7.5% +16.5% $16,250 $5,606 $14,447
Matanuska-Susitna Borough 20.1% +7.3% +14.3% $11,653 $4,672 $9,862
Fairbanks North Star Borough 19.8% +6.9% +17.3% $13,388 $5,336 $12,486
Kodiak Island Borough 19.5% +8.1% +17% $13,937 $6,293 $13,048
Anchorage Municipality 18.8% +6.8% +16.5% $14,211 $5,487 $13,289
Skagway Municipality 18.4% +10.6% $13,898 $5,690
Sitka City and Borough 17.8% +6.1% $14,256 $5,621
Juneau City and Borough 15.4% +5.5% +11.8% $12,125 $4,749 $10,519
North Slope Borough 12.1% +5.3% $9,058 $2,860
Bristol Bay Borough 9.6% +1.2% +6.1% $15,040 $5,690 $13,100
Aleutians West Census Area 7.9% +1.6% $5,483 $1,591
Aleutians East Borough 7% -0.9% $4,487 $942


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